UK Tools

Finance & Money

Inflation & Real Return Calculator

Rates & guidance reviewed

Inflation quietly reduces what each pound can buy. A sum that feels comfortable today may cover less in ten or twenty years — and an investment return only helps if it outpaces price rises after costs and tax.

This free calculator projects the future cost of today’s basket of goods, the purchasing power of idle cash, and the real (inflation-adjusted) value of a simple compounded return. Useful for long-term budgeting and savings “what ifs”.

Figures are illustrative. UK CPI/CPIH change over time; enter the Bank of England’s 2% target, a recent average, or a stress-test rate. Not a forecast and not investment advice.

Prefer the written walkthrough? Start with How UK fuel cost is calculated from miles, MPG and the pump price, How UK inflation erodes cash — and what a real return means or How compound interest is calculated on a UK savings pot. Guides match the figures on this page.

Interactive tool

Illustrative compound inflation · not an ONS forecast

UK CPI and CPIH change over time. Enter a long-run assumption (often around 2%–3% for planning) or a scenario you want to stress-test. This is not a prediction of official inflation.

e.g. 2 for Bank of England target, or your scenario

Optional — use 0 for cash under the mattress

Examples:

Inflation impact

Cost of the same basket in 10 years£1,343.92
Total price rise34.4%
Purchasing power of cash left idle£744.09
Real value lost (cash)£255.91

Investment vs inflation

Nominal investment value£1,628.89
Real investment value (today’s £)£1,212.05
Approx. real annual return1.94%

Illustrative only. Ignores tax, fees, variable rates and changing inflation. Not investment advice — past or assumed returns are not a guarantee of future results.

How to use this tool

  1. Enter an amount in today’s pounds.
  2. Choose an assumed annual inflation rate and the number of years.
  3. Optionally enter an investment or savings return rate (use 0 for cash).
  4. Compare future basket cost, cash purchasing power and real investment value.
  5. Copy the summary when comparing scenarios.

Worked examples

Static sample calculations you can read without using the form. Figures match this tool's maths — always re-run with your own numbers for a personal estimate.

£1,000 · 3% inflation · 10 years · 5% return

The default: modest growth that still beats inflation in real terms.

Inputs

Amount today
£1,000
Annual inflation
3%
Years
10
Investment return
5% a year

Results

Same basket future cost
£1,343.92
Cash purchasing power
£744.09
Investment nominal value
£1,628.89
Investment real value
£1,212.05
Approx. real annual return
1.94%

Same figures as the written inflation guide. Real annual return is (1.05 ÷ 1.03) − 1, not 5 − 3.

£50,000 · 2.5% inflation · 20 years · 6% return

Long-horizon pot — inflation roughly doubles many price tags.

Inputs

Amount today
£50,000
Annual inflation
2.5%
Years
20
Investment return
6% a year

Results

Same basket future cost
£81,930.82
Cash purchasing power
£30,513.55
Investment nominal value
£160,356.77
Investment real value
£97,861.08
Approx. real annual return
3.41%

£200 · 4% inflation · 5 years · cash (0% return)

Idle cash loses purchasing power when prices rise.

Inputs

Amount today
£200
Annual inflation
4%
Years
5
Investment return
0%

Results

Same basket future cost
£243.33
Cash purchasing power
£164.39
Investment real value
£164.39
Approx. real annual return
−3.85%

£1,000 · 2% target · 10 years · 5% return

Same pot as the default, but inflation at the Bank of England’s 2% CPI target.

Inputs

Amount today
£1,000
Annual inflation
2%
Years
10
Investment return
5% a year

Results

Same basket future cost
£1,218.99
Cash purchasing power
£820.35
Investment real value
£1,336.26
Approx. real annual return
2.94%

Two percentage points of inflation for a decade is the gap between £744.09 and £820.35 of idle-cash purchasing power.

Nominal vs real returns

A nominal return is the percentage growth before inflation. A real return is what is left after prices rise — (1 + nominal) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1. If your savings earn 3% while inflation is 3%, your real return is zero before tax.

Cash under the mattress has a negative real return whenever inflation is positive. Even a current account with low interest can lose purchasing power in real terms.

Worked case: £1,000 left as cash for 10 years at 3% inflation is worth £744.09 in today’s purchasing power here, while the same basket of goods would cost £1,343.92. At a 5% nominal return the pot’s real value is £1,212.05 — still ahead of cash, before tax and fees. Real annual return is 1.94%, not 2%.

UK inflation in everyday planning

The Bank of England’s inflation target is 2% (CPI). ONS CPI in the 12 months to July 2026 was 2.9% (CPIH 3.1%). Those prints move. Long-term planners often use a modest assumption and test a higher “what if” rate. This tool compounds at a constant rate you type — it does not look up ONS. A longer walk-through of the two views of (1 + i)^n, the 1.94% real-return trap, CPI vs CPIH vs RPI, and the rule of 72 is in the written inflation guide.

Official sources & further reading

Always confirm rates, bands and eligibility on official pages. Our tools are simplified estimators for guidance only.

Frequently asked questions

What inflation rate should I use?
There is no single correct figure. Many people use around 2% for long-run planning, or a higher rate to stress-test. You can also try a recent multi-year average from ONS data.
What is £1,000 worth after 10 years at 3% inflation?
In purchasing-power terms £744.09 if left as cash in this model, while the same goods would cost £1,343.92. With a 5% nominal investment return the real value is £1,212.05 before tax and fees. The written inflation guide walks through that default.
Does this use official ONS figures?
No. You choose the rate. Official CPI/CPIH series are published by the ONS and change monthly.
Are tax and fees included?
No. Platform fees, fund charges and tax on interest or gains would reduce real outcomes further.
How is real annual return calculated?
Approximately (1 + investment rate) ÷ (1 + inflation rate) − 1, using the decimal forms of the percentages you enter.
Is my data stored?
No. Calculations stay in your browser.